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Indra develops and provides a free application to predict the evolution of stock market values

Date: September 6, 2010 Source: Europa Press
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Indra , along with the departments of Informatics, University of Murcia and Universidad Carlos III de Madrid has developed a system based on semantic technology to predict the evolution of stock market values.

The application, available online http://innovation-labs.com/SocialSONAR and open to anyone who is interested in developing a customized portfolio includes a 2.0-based collaborative technologies that allows users to create, modify or clear information on investment "is interactive, easy and fast," the company said.

Specifically, the web platform has a node that feeds on the information available on the Internet and is able to record it semantically according to the valuation of stocks based on the income of a company and the influence they may have external data (primary analysis) and the historical contribution of an asset (technical analysis).

The solution also features a "neural network trainer"-an artificial intelligence tool for the system to adapt to new market situations and maintainers of the parameters used in the calculation of forecasts.

The prototype has been developed using the SONAR platform project, which culminated in the development of a financial search engine based on semantic technology.

The "Sonar 2", with a total investment of 590,000 euros, is part of the Avanza I + D Program of the Ministry of Industry, Tourism and Trade and has been led by the Innovation Indra Software Labs located in development center of Madrid.

The company explained that the goal of "SONAR 2" is to facilitate the task of investors and financial analysts through systems and technology from artificial intelligence field, but can also be used by individuals, because its environment is fully configurable depending on the role of each user.

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The housing prices in Spain could fall by 75% by 2050, according to the BIS

Date: August 10, 2010 Source: Europa Press
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The housing prices in Spain could fall by 75% by the contractionary effect on demand of an aging population, just as the "baby boom" caused an increase in its value when these generations reach adulthood and began to buy homes.

This is one of the main conclusions drawn from a report by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), which explains that, according to demographic projections for the next 40 years, only Portugal would experience even more severe impact on housing prices.

With decreases in the vicinity of 75% would fall also countries like Greece, Germany or Italy. The impact would be lower in the English-speaking countries, such as Ireland, Canada or the U.S., where the cut would not exceed 50%.

"Estimates suggest that the real price of houses will face a substantial negative pressure during the next 40 years because of aging," the report said.

However, the Bank for International emphasized that these estimated price declines are not specific forecasts, so that house prices would grow substantially in spite of population pressures, while also linked to social variables economic.

In this regard, the report notes that between 1970 and 2009 prices rose in Spain more than 300% in a scenario of demographic impact neutral, while in Finland increased by about twice the drop expected.

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Players of the Spanish team will win 600,000 euros to win the World Cup

Date: July 10, 2010 Source: Sources
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Each of the 23 players that make up the Spanish team will receive 600,000 euros in case your captain, Iker Casillas, elk Sunday the 6.175 kilos of fine minerals, five solid gold of 18 carats, which make up the trophy of the FIFA .

The Spanish Football Federation made ​​it clear at the start of the championship that taxpayers will not have to pay the bill. The money comes out of the 24.4 and 18.9 million that FIFA will pay the winner and runner, respectively. Still, some people not content and requires players to pitch in and give example. United Left, ERC and BNG have been proposed to players who resign or donate part of these gains to social by the economic crisis.

The Spanish premium of 600,000 euros is the highest of those assigned to the 32 teams participating, and far exceeds EUR 250,000 men commanded by Luis Aragones pocketed for winning the European Championship in 2008.

In any case, the players have already secured a bonus of 2,760,000 euros, 120,000 euros apiece, just to play the final.

What no responsibility for the Federation is open mic told Casillas, Puyol, Villa, Iniesta and company will have to declare this money to the treasury as performance bonuses at work, which are subject to a tax of 43%. Under current law, the Treasury would raise 258,000 euros per head if the team wins the World Cup, 5,934,000 euros in total.

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Paul the Octopus and Economic Theory

Date: July 9, 2010 Source: Sources
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Paul the Octopus has spoken: Spain will win the final of the football World Cup!

Imagine you have $ 1,000 and wants apostarlos a result of the final. What economic theory tells us about how to proceed? The case has a curious parallel with the gestation of the bubbles. Your decision should depend on one of these three hypotheses:

  • H1. You think Paul the Octopus really knows the future.
  • H2. You think Paul the Octopus does not know the future, but also believes that many people do trust the octopus.
  • H3. You think Paul the Octopus does not know the future and also no one believes him, just about entertainment media.

In the first case, the answer is clear: $ 1,000 bet their prediction following the octopus!

In the second case, the theory tells us ... that we bet on the contrary to his prediction. The ticket price of a bet in Spain - Holland gathers all the added information available on the outcome of the game (such as game systems, results, experience or fitness level each team). Like it or not the prediction, we must remember that betting markets are the best predictors we know (must-read article). If many people rely on the prediction of the octopus and you do not, your best strategy is to bet against, because these people will have added this new information (the view of Paul) in the price. That is, the price has moved away from their perspective, their fundamental value. The curious thing is that what for you is a bubble, not for those who trust in the octopus. For them there is no bubble. "The housing prices never fall." Sorry!, My head has been another issue. "The octopus has guessed all the results of Germany in the world."

In the third and last case, the opinion of the octopus does not matter to anyone, so no "false" information is added in the price bubble there to exploit. Does that mean you should not bet on any team? It depends: if you are a football fan you could earn value "covering" against an undesired result. Holland's victory is paid at this time to 3.35. Ie, bet (if Spanish) in favor of Holland. If Spain loses ... relieve their displeasure with 3,350 €! Anyway, hope of reward, in the absence of insider trading, was zero.

You now have all the necessary information to bet. Decide which of the three scenarios is relevant to you. But before you think, Paul the octopus has successful outcome of the six games he has played in this World Cup Germany (including the defeats against Serbia and Spain). The probability that what has been achieved by chance is equal to 0.5 raised to 6, about 1.5%. Are you sure that Paul does not know the future?

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Interesting statistics on the distribution of wealth in the U.S.

Date: May 9, 2010 Source: Sources
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As we all know, the U.S. is the largest producer of political and economic statistics in the world, and of these, we found some interesting network in this link , which are as curious as follows:

  • 51% of the shares of listed companies are owned by 1% of the U.S. population. (Source: Extreme Inequelity )
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Russia eliminates time zones to boost economy

Date: March 28, 2010 Source: Economic @ 21
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Russian President Dmitry Medvedev on Sunday announced the reduction of two time zones of the country, passing from 11 to 9 - to boost the national economy and improve the management of the world's largest country.

Sunday With the introduction of daylight saving time, border areas closest to Alaska in the far east, as the Chukotka and Kamchatka peninsulas, are only eight hours ahead of Moscow instead of the usual nine.

The locations of the Samara region and Udmurtia in the Urals, have lost their zone to join the Moscow. Kemerovo, the only area of ​​Siberia to Moscow four hours ahead, lose an hour and joins the rest of Siberian regions, whose clocks are three hours ahead of those of the Russian capital.

Thus is fulfilled the promise of Medvedev made in recent weeks, and that is committed to continue studying reductions of time zones to "give life to the business of Russia", which could end up with only a difference of five hours throughout its territory, at the suggestion of the president.

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The profile of long-term unemployed is for the male 25 to 34 years

Date: March 12, 2010 Source: Europa Press
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According to an analysis published by Afi-AGETT , the profile of long-term unemployed corresponds to that of a male, aged between 25 and 34 years of industry or construction. Unlike the crisis of 90, young people under 25 years are among the most long-term unemployed.

The increase in long-term unemployment has been noted in all regions, especially in the Balearics, where the unemployed with more than a year in unemployment have multiplied by 17, followed by Murcia (nearly seven times) and La Rioja and Community Valenciana (more than five times more).

For AGETT president, Francisco Aranda, the sharp rise of long-term unemployment "highlights the limited effectiveness" of the active policies of employment and job placement.

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